StatSheet Projects Oregon as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/10/2012

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 10th, 2012
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Oregon as an NCAA Tournament bubble team but likely out unless it improves. The Ducks are ranked #70 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-7 overall record and an 8-4 record in the Pac 12.

During its last four games, Oregon registered wins against Washington and Utah but also struggled with a loss against RPI #67 Colorado and a bad loss to RPI #122 Oregon State.

Oregon is weak against top competition, with a 3-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes an 0-4 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Ducks have no quality wins, they're hampered by a bad loss to RPI #122 Oregon State.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Purdue (15-9, 5-6 Big Ten, StatRank #57), Brigham Young (20-6, 8-3 West Coast, StatRank #42), Arkansas (16-8, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #65), and Texas (15-9, 5-6 Big 12, StatRank #55).

The first four teams out are Colorado (16-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #71), Minnesota (17-8, 5-7 Big Ten, StatRank #69), Ole Miss (14-9, 4-5 SEC, StatRank #68), and Oregon (17-7, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #70).

The next four out are Arizona (17-8, 8-4 Pac 12, StatRank #64), Pittsburgh (15-10, 4-8 Big East, StatRank #67), St. Joseph's (PA) (15-10, 5-5 A-10, StatRank #48), and Xavier (16-8, 7-3 A-10, StatRank #61).

Regional 1
#1Kentucky
#2Baylor
#3Duke
#4Florida State
#5Michigan
#6Indiana
#7Connecticut
#8Alabama
#9Harvard
#10Colorado State
#11California
#12MTSU
#13Arkansas
#14Akron
#15Bucknell
#16Long Island
#17MVSU
Regional 2
#1Missouri
#2Florida
#3Georgetown
#4Marquette
#5Murray State
#6Louisville
#7Creighton
#8Gonzaga
#9Seton Hall
#10Illinois
#11Iowa State
#12New Mexico
#13Brigham Young
#14Iona
#15Davidson
#16Mercer
#17Norfolk State
Regional 3
#1Ohio State
#2Kansas
#3Michigan State
#4UNLV
#5Virginia
#6Mississippi State
#7Temple
#8Miami (FL)
#9West Virginia
#10Memphis
#11Kansas State
#12NC State
#13Long Beach State
#14Nevada
#15Drexel
#16Texas-Arlington
#17UNCA
Regional 4
#1Syracuse
#2North Carolina
#3Southern Miss
#4San Diego State
#5Wisconsin
#6Saint Mary's
#7Vanderbilt
#8Northwestern
#9Wichita State
#10Notre Dame
#11Saint Louis
#12Oral Roberts
#13Texas
#14Purdue
#15Weber State
#16Valparaiso
#17Stony Brook

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big Ten8 1266.7%
Big East8 1650.0%
ACC6 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
SEC6 1250.0%
Mountain West4 850.0%
West Coast3 933.3%
A-102 1414.3%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
C-USA2 1216.7%
Southland1 128.3%
Big South1 119.1%
MEAC1 137.7%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Pac 121 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
WAC1 812.5%
America East1 911.1%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ivy League1 812.5%
Summit League1 1010.0%
Big Sky1 911.1%
CAA1 128.3%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
MAC1 128.3%
MAAC1 1010.0%
SoCon1 128.3%
NEC1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%

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Pac 12 Standings

OverallConf
1 Washington 24-11 14-4
 2Oregon 24-10 13-5
2 California 24-10 13-5
4 Arizona 23-12 12-6
5 Colorado 24-12 11-7
5 UCLA 19-14 11-7
7 Stanford 26-11 10-8
8 Oregon State 21-15 7-11
8 WSU 19-18 7-11
10 Arizona State 10-21 6-12
11 Utah 6-25 3-15
12 USC 6-26 1-17
Last updated: Apr 7th, 2012

2011-2012 Roster

#5 Olu Ashaolou Sr F 6-7 220
#1 Bruce Barron Fr G 6-3 200
#32 Jabari Brown Fr G 6-5 205
#33 Carlos Emory Jr F 6-6 225
#23 Jeremy Jacob Sr F 6-8 230
#34 Devoe Joseph Sr G 6-4 180
#12 Brett Kingma Fr G 6-1 175
#40 Austin Kuemper Fr C 6-9 230
#42 Chris Larson Jr C 6-11 220
#10 Johnathan Loyd So G 5-8 165
#4 N. Lucenti So G 6-3 212
#31 Tyrone Nared Sr F 6-8 220
#3 Garrett Sim Sr G 6-2 185
#25 E.J. Singler Jr F 6-6 215
#55 Tony Woods Jr C 6-11 250